Projected Sea Ice Thickness change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles

Projected Sea Ice Thickness change based on CMIP5 multi-model ensembles is an open dataset from Environment and Climate Change Canada with 15 files (HTML, NETCDF, PDF, WCS, WMS); catalogue record updated 2025-10-15. On CanQuery you can follow the original downloads. Files are available in English and French.

Seasonal and annual multi-model ensembles of projected change (also known as anomalies) in sea ice thickness, based on an ensemble of twenty-six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) global climate models are available for 1900-2100. Projected change in sea ice thickness is with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005 and expressed as a percentage (%). The 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 95th percentiles of the ensemble of sea ice thickness change are available for the historical time period, 1900-2005, and for emission scenarios, RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for 2006-2100. Twenty-year average changes in sea ice thickness (%) for four time periods (2021-2040; 2041-2060; 2061-2080; 2081-2100), with respect to the reference period of 1986-2005, for RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are also available in a range of formats. The median projected change across the ensemble of CMIP5 climate models is provided. Note: Projections among climate models can vary because of differences in their underlying representation of earth system processes. Thus, the use of a multi-model ensemble approach has been demonstrated in recent scientific literature to likely provide better projected…

Publisher

Environment and Climate Change Canada

Resources

15

Catalogue metadata updated

2025-10-15